Objective To explore the predictive value of serum beta collagen degradation products (β-CTX), cathepsin K (Cathe K) and osteoprotegerin (OPG) levels in predicting the recurrence of fractures after senile osteoporotic fractures (OPF). Methods A total of 120 elderly OPF patients who underwent percutaneous vertebroplasty (PVP) and percutaneous kyphoplasty (PKP) in Haikou Hospital Affiliated to Xiangya School of Medicine, Central South University from March 2018 to March 2020 were selected and divided into recurrent fracture group (32 cases) and non-recurrent fracture group (88 cases) according to whether postoperative fractures occurred. Serum levels of β-CTX, Cathe K, OPG and other possible influencing factors were detected and compared between the two groups. Logistic regression analysis was used to identify the risk factors for postoperative refracture in elderly patients with OPF, and receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) was drawn to evaluate the predictive value of serum β-CTX, Cathe K and OPG levels in elderly patients with OPF for refracture. Results The level of serum β-CTX and Cathe K in the refracture group were higher than those in the non-refracture group, while the bone mineral density T value and the level of serum OPG were lower than those in the non-refracture group (P<0.05). Logistic regression analysis showed that the degree of fracture, bone mineral density T value, β-CTX, Cathe K, OPG are all risk factors that affect the recurrence of fractures in elderly OPF patients (P<0.05). ROC analysis showed that the sensitivity, specificity, and AUC of serum β-CTX, Cathe K, OPG combined to predict postoperative recurrence of fractures in elderly OPF patients were 87.50%, 85.23%, and 0.859, respectively, which were higher than β-CTX, Cathe K, OPG separately forecasts. Conclusion Serum β-CTX, Cathe K and OPG levels are higher in elderly patients with postoperative OPF fractures, which are risk factors for postoperative OPF fractures in the elderly, and have higher clinical value in the evaluation of postoperative OPF fractures in the elderly. |